8 at home 11 away

The predicated final table now has us as champions!

yuffie wrote:The predicated final table now has us as champions!

I have a viral infection with brain fog so might be dreaming - https://www.footballwebpages.co.uk/national-league-south/league-table/predicted - a new discussion on how this can be at all feasible?  

Realistically City's  squad size, whilst full of quality, will need to be injury and suspension free to come close to achieve this and even then Yeovil, Torquay et al have more resources to cover any problems they will have.  

The predicted results, on which this is based look bizarre...eg losing home to Chelmsford and winning home to Yeovil. I would suggest there is a greater chance of winning v Chelmsford than there is v Yeovil.  

I assume it is based on our home form as against the opponents away form. Chelmsford have very good away form whereas Yeovil's are more moderate.
Our current home form would have a lesser weighting than Chelmsford's away form but the opposite would apply in respect of Yeovil.

Peter Newman wrote:
Also when comparing the attendances it should be between the run-in  average versus the average upto that period.

My wife got fed up with me moaning about there be nothing to do at this fag end of the year so she asked if I had any homework to do. I was about to say no then remembered Peter's post!

So with my handy spreadsheet and that same website from earlier in this thread I've come up with the following for last season's final positions from 2nd to 15th...

position - club - average attendance until end of February - average attendance for March + April - increase - %age increase.

2 Dartford 1181 1172 -9 -1%
3 Oxford City 411 511 100 24%
4 Worthing 1102 1432 330 30%
5 Chelmsford 826 1021 195 24%
6 St Albans 1215 1830 615 51%
7 Braintree 590 747 157 27%
..............................................................
8 Eastbourne 980 1256 276 28%
9 Tonbridge 938 1353 415 44%
10 Havant 991 978 -13 -1%
11 Bath 1090 1213 123 11%
..............................................................
12 Farnborough 601 606 5 1%
13 Chippenham 596 644 48 8%
14 Taunton 757 836 79 10%
15 Hemel Hempstead 514 550 36 7%

For the 6 teams who qualified for the playoffs their average increase for the last 2 months was 26%, for 8th - 11th 21% and  12th - 15th 7%. That last stat rather backs up my belief that midtable teams have little chance of reaching the playoffs and if anything their attention may be directed more to the foot of the table.
But of the top half clubs the figures for all except Dartford and Havant underline Paul's view that the goal of reaching the top 7 can increase attendances (dramatically so in the case of St Albans and Tonbridge! Although in Tonbridge's case they did have the visits of Dartford and Ebbsfleet in the last two months with presumably their large away followings for a derby match)

Excellent research powell on a damp Saturday 30th December. I think Dartford and Havant had ghastly ends to the season. Like Dartford couldn't catch Ebbsfleet and Havant fell dramatically. So not surprising they didn't increase attendances. Hope of reaching the plays offs even if your say 12th in March, keeps the promotion dream alive despite the 1 in 6 chance of actually going up via the play offs. Will go up as champions any way so no need to worry about play offs.

UTC BOYS