"PASITIVE" (Optimistic?) THOUGHTS

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Re: "PASITIVE" (Optimistic?) THOUGHTS

Post by Beau Nash on Wed Apr 06, 2016 11:19 am

BenE wrote:Not sure what the difference is between 'positive' and 'pasitive' but it appears to be to ignore all the evidence. We are achieving 1 point a game. If we get 47 points from here we will have done better than the whole of this season apart from the first 6 games.

"Pasitive" is the opposite of "Nagative", the other topic.

Whilst this topic was a bit tongue in cheek, it was intended to put the positive, optimistic, slant on our perilous position.  Now I am using it as a fixture list / current position / forecast results / concentration of the games we need to focus on to see how we stand in the relegation battle. Please watch for errors on the updates.
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Re: "PASITIVE" (Optimistic?) THOUGHTS

Post by Luton Roman on Wed Apr 06, 2016 1:05 pm

I like to be as positive as the next person, but if we cant keep a clean sheet and struggle to create chances let alone score then there is only one end to this season. Form table shows Hayes and Margate as bottom 2, with us fifth from bottom due to the freak win over Weston, the games to win.

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Re: "PASITIVE" (Optimistic?) THOUGHTS

Post by Micawber on Wed Apr 06, 2016 2:01 pm

Margate seem to be in freefall and lost about 8 in a row now. According to the Non League Paper their big money backer has pulled out and reverting to part time next season. Some players on £1000/Wk and all players and manager leaving at end of season. If true can't see them having the heart for a relegation dogfight. Let's hope not anyway !


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Re: "PASITIVE" (Optimistic?) THOUGHTS

Post by comrade powell on Wed Apr 06, 2016 2:40 pm

And on Saturday Margate face Sutton, who now look to be heading for the title. In fact all the strugglers, apart from Weston, face difficult games next. As Luton Roman says, there is nothing in our form or play that suggests that Sascha's prediction will come true and everything points to those final two matches, which on paper look our easiest remaining.
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Re: "PASITIVE" (Optimistic?) THOUGHTS

Post by Luton Roman on Wed Apr 06, 2016 4:19 pm

All about playing teams at the right time. Would be good to play Hayes and Margate now, will they have recovered in a few weeks? Playing Whitehawk when we should have would have been good, their results have been more even since. We played St.Albans at the right time for sure in Feb before their recent stellar run. Thankfully a postponement helped break that.

Concord still in with a play off shout, speaking of which we have always thought 70 pts was the min requirement for that, certainly wont be this season, a very uneven top 5.

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Agree

Post by pete mac on Wed Apr 06, 2016 4:21 pm

Agree with Gerry.

We are a point a game team and for weeks I have said that scraping survival at 46 points is the end game.

Having said that a win and 2 draws in the last 5 games is very possible and probably enough.

It is incredible that we are at this point but I'll save the post mortem til later.

I think we'll do it.

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Re: "PASITIVE" (Optimistic?) THOUGHTS

Post by pete mac on Wed Apr 06, 2016 4:23 pm

Conversely Martin I think Eastbourne are the target winnable games.

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Re: "PASITIVE" (Optimistic?) THOUGHTS

Post by pete mac on Wed Apr 06, 2016 4:23 pm

and Whitehawk.....they both look mid table

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Re: "PASITIVE" (Optimistic?) THOUGHTS

Post by comrade powell on Wed Apr 06, 2016 4:40 pm

Remember what Sutton did to us at TP a few years back when they had nothing to play for and we were expecting to reach the play offs. 4-0 wasn't it? I believe strange results affect teams at the top and bottom rather than mid table as the pressure gets to players. But Gerry is right about playing teams at the right/wrong times and I'd guess Hayes and Margate could be saying the same about us!
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Re: "PASITIVE" (Optimistic?) THOUGHTS

Post by pete mac on Wed Apr 06, 2016 4:45 pm

The good news is that the last 4 games are all winnable with a point at Concord possible maybe. Our record suggests one win at best!

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Re: "PASITIVE" (Optimistic?) THOUGHTS

Post by Beau Nash on Sat Apr 09, 2016 5:24 pm

Exciting stuff, good results for City today.


Likely Relegation Clubs Fixtures
 
Tuesday 12th April 2016
Predicted Results
Hemel Hempstead Town v St Albans City3 
Truro City v Weston-super-Mare3 
Saturday 16th April 2016  
Bath City v Eastbourne Borough3 
Bishop’s Stortford v Margate3 
Hayes & Yeading United v Concord Rangers 3
St Albans City v Havant & Waterlooville3 
Weston-super-Mare v Whitehawk11
Tuesday 19th April 2016  
Bath City v Whitehawk11
Havant & Waterlooville v Truro 3
Saturday 23rd April 2016  
Concord Rangers v Havant & Waterlooville3 
Hayes & Yeading United v Bath City 3
Margate v Hemel Hempstead Town 3
Wealdstone v St Albans City03
Weston-super-Mare v Maidenhead United11
Saturday 30th April 2016  
Bath City v Margate3 
Gosport Borough v Hayes & Yeading United3 
Havant & Waterlooville v Weston-super-Mare11
St Albans City v Dartford11
 

Team
Games to Play
Points
Final Points
Final Position
Bath
4
10
54
16
St Albans
4
7
48
17
Weston
4
3
47
18
Havant
4
2
44
19
Margate
3
0
44
20
Hayes
3
0
42
21
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Re: "PASITIVE" (Optimistic?) THOUGHTS

Post by Beau Nash on Sat Apr 09, 2016 5:53 pm

Havant v Truro will not be the 19th April;  probably 26th.
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Re: "PASITIVE" (Optimistic?) THOUGHTS

Post by the demon headmaster on Sat Apr 09, 2016 6:16 pm

So far, against his predictions in his first post, Beau Nash has been wrong in 5 out of 7 results.

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Re: "PASITIVE" (Optimistic?) THOUGHTS

Post by the demon headmaster on Sat Apr 09, 2016 6:18 pm

Sorry, that should read second.

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Re: "PASITIVE" (Optimistic?) THOUGHTS

Post by Sir Ged Roddy on Sat Apr 09, 2016 11:05 pm

Truro already have games scheduled for all 3 remaining Tuesdays, so the Havant v Truro game will have to be on a Thursday.

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Re: "PASITIVE" (Optimistic?) THOUGHTS

Post by Beau Nash on Mon Apr 11, 2016 6:08 pm

It is Thursday 28th for Havant v Truro
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Re: "PASITIVE" (Optimistic?) THOUGHTS

Post by Luton Roman on Mon Apr 11, 2016 6:28 pm

Worked out well for Havant. Home v team who ve had long trip after many games close together, likely to have booked place in play offs and cd rest some key players.

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Re: "PASITIVE" (Optimistic?) THOUGHTS

Post by comrade powell on Tue Apr 12, 2016 9:49 pm

Weston win 3-1 at Truro tonight. But it could have been worse as St. Albans draw 2-2 at Hemel after being 2 up.
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Re: "PASITIVE" (Optimistic?) THOUGHTS

Post by Beau Nash on Tue Apr 12, 2016 9:50 pm

End of season madness continues as relegation threatened clubs continue to beat play off hopefuls.  Rolling Eyes



Saturday 16th April 2016
Predicted Results
Bath City v Eastbourne Borough3 
Bishop’s Stortford v Margate3 
Hayes & Yeading United v Concord Rangers 3
St Albans City v Havant & Waterlooville3 
Weston-super-Mare v Whitehawk11
Tuesday 19th April 2016  
Bath City v Whitehawk11
Havant & Waterlooville v Truro 3
Saturday 23rd April 2016  
Concord Rangers v Havant & Waterlooville3 
Hayes & Yeading United v Bath City 3
Margate v Hemel Hempstead Town 3
Wealdstone v St Albans City03
Weston-super-Mare v Maidenhead United11
Saturday 30th April 2016  
Bath City v Margate3 
Gosport Borough v Hayes & Yeading United3 
Havant & Waterlooville v Weston-super-Mare11
St Albans City v Dartford11
 

Team
Games to Play
Points
Final Points
Final Position
Bath
4
10
54
16
Weston
3
3
50
17
St Albans
3
7
49
18
Havant
4
2
44
19
Margate
3
0
44
20
Hayes
3
0
42
21
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Re: "PASITIVE" (Optimistic?) THOUGHTS

Post by pete mac on Tue Apr 12, 2016 10:18 pm

Weston have done well and look safe to me.

St. Albans being pegged back was more important.

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Re: "PASITIVE" (Optimistic?) THOUGHTS

Post by Beau Nash on Wed Apr 13, 2016 1:15 pm

Hayes and Margate have the worst current form by any measure, so whatever the "errors" in my predicted results I am predicting they join Basingstoke in being relegated.

With us having to play both, two wins against them, will almost certainly ensure our survival...hopefully.  Basketball
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Re: "PASITIVE" (Optimistic?) THOUGHTS

Post by BenE on Wed Apr 13, 2016 1:40 pm

I'd certainly have more confidence in your predictions if more than 2 out of 10 results had been correct.

I don't think you need to analyze every game until the end of the season to form the view that Hayes and Margate are most at risk.

But certainly the view that we will end up with 4 points more than Weston is Pasitive.
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Re: "PASITIVE" (Optimistic?) THOUGHTS

Post by Luton Roman on Thu Apr 14, 2016 1:33 pm

Guess we'd take this final scenario:

http://www.footballwebpages.co.uk/natsouth/league/predicted

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Re: "PASITIVE" (Optimistic?) THOUGHTS

Post by Beau Nash on Thu Apr 14, 2016 1:51 pm

Luton Roman wrote:Guess we'd take this final scenario:

http://www.footballwebpages.co.uk/natsouth/league/predicted
Yes.  bounce


I hadn't considered Eastbourne being dragged into the relegation battle; they have three points more than us which will be vital for them after they lose this Saturday   silent  and with their tough remaining games.
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Re: "PASITIVE" (Optimistic?) THOUGHTS

Post by Steve Whites Missus on Thu Apr 14, 2016 3:22 pm

Luton Roman wrote:Guess we'd take this final scenario:

http://www.footballwebpages.co.uk/natsouth/league/predicted

So we are gonna go unbeaten from now to the end of the season, with two wins... sounds a deal I'm willing to accept.

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